For the past six months the Clinton Administration has been engaged in a steadily increasing war of words with the Japanese to pressure them to take concrete actions to reduce their "chronic" trade surplus with the U.S. by committing to quantitative targets for U.S. goods sold in Japanese...

In the past 3 1/2 years the U.S. has experienced strong economic growth, low inflation and productivity growth noticeably above the average of the previous two decades. In some corners there is a strong belief that this increase in productivity growth is the beginning of a resurgence in...

One of the consequences of slow economic growth in the troubled countries of Asia combined with a relatively robust economy at home is that the U.S. trade deficit has widened significantly. In the second quarter of 1998 the National Income and Product Accounts measure of real net exports was...

Over the past nine months there has been a growing number of articles written about the possibility of a serious deflation in the U.S. Articles have appeared in a wide range of respected business publications... What is extraordinary about virtually all the popular discussions of this topic is...

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Rochester. Dept. of Economics, 1982.

The last twenty years offer remarkable evidence about the irrelevance of some political labels. The drift into permanent inflation, initiated by a "liberal" Administration under President Johnson, was continued under three "conservative" Administrations. The drift in our budget "policies" even...

The deficit of the Federal budget dominates the attention of the public arena. The process began with President Carter's ill-fated budget announcement in February 1980. The response of the bond market revealed at the time that an increasing segment of the public recognized the futility of...

The reflexes of politicians to problems, in particular those created by their past policies, are well conditioned. This pattern holds in particular for international financial problems. Major swings in the dollar in foreign exchange markets seem reliably associated with rising demands for...

The Shadow Open Market Committee was initiated in the summer of 1973. It was designed to offer an organized forum for a systematic appraisal of U.S. stabilization policies. A deep concern over policies pursued in the past ten years motivated the initiative. The financial policies dominantly...

The Shadow Open Market Committee warned in its first meeting in September 1973 against our drift into permanent inflation. The Committee's concern was motivated by the repeated failures of our policymaking in 1967,1970 and again in 1972. The monetary authorities abandoned in each case an...