This study examines whether investor reactions are sensitive to the recent direction and/orvolatility of underlying market movements. We find dividend change announcements elicit agreater change in stock price when the nature of the news (good or bad) goes against the grain ofthe recent market...

Significant prediction of asset prices is of a great importance in financial economics. When studying economic and financial phenomena, it is essential to correctly specify the model. If the true dynamics are nonlinear, using linear methods will probably be irrelevant in doing empirical...