A procedure is proposed for examining different aspects of performance for judgemental directional probability predictions of exchange rate movements. In particular, a range of new predictive performance measures is identified to highlight specific expressions of strengths and weaknesses in...

Is there timing ability in the exchange rate markets? We address this question by examining foreign firms' decisions to issue American Depositary Receipts (ADRs). Specifically, we test whether foreign firms consider currency market conditions in their ADR issuance decisions and, in doing so,...

This paper investigates the role of currency denomination in the the intertemporal risk-return relation among G7 countries. Similar to the findings of previous studies, our estimation also shows that the financial markets of the G7 countries are integrated. We obtain significant pricing...

The need for external capital (FDI) inflow to finance the current account deficit of developing countries cannot be over-emphasized. Foreign direct investment takes predominance over other types of capital inflow into developing countries. How would an increase in FDI and a reduction in import...

Ao longo do período 2000/2007 o setor externo do agronegócio brasileiro encontrou uma conjuntura altamente favorável para o aumento de suas exportações, pois se combinou uma situação de forte expansão da economia mundial com elevação dos preços internacionais de commodities. No...

In dieser Arbeit werden die Auswirkungen von spekulativen Attacken auf die Stabilität von Zielzonensystemenn in unterschiedlichen Ansätzen analysiert. Außerdem wird die Wirksamkeit verschiedener Politikoptionen zur Verteidigung eines Systems von Währungsbändern vor solchen Attacken...

Untersuchungsziel dieser finanzwissenschaftlichen Arbeit ist die Wirkung einer Tobin-Steuer als spezielle Transaktionssteuer auf das Devisen-Handelsvolumen und die Wechselkursvolatilität. Ausgangspunkt bildet das mikroökonomische Investitionsverhalten der Marktteilnehmer, das wir mit Hilfe von...

Commodity price uncertainty imposes large costs on society. On the macro level, it results in sudden and unexpected shifts in current account imbalances and real GDP volatility, while on the micro level, it leads to allocation inefficiencies. Accurate price forecasts have the potential to remove...

This research investigates the information content of the translation information resulting from exchange rate fluctuations. Two hypotheses are examined. The dollar movement hypotheses investigate whether there is a positive relationship between security valuation and the translation information...

The forthcoming EU enlargement raises a series of questions related to the new entrants’ entry to Exchange Rate Mechanism II and their subsequent adoption of the single currency. In this paper, the issue of how to determine the central parity for the acceding countries with which to enter...