In this article we study the use of the sample distribution for the prediction of finite population totals under single-stage sampling. The proposed predictors condition on the sample values of the target outcome variable, the sampling weights of the sample units and possibly on known population...

Classification error can lead to substantial biases in the estimation of gross flows from longitudinal data. We propose a method to adjust flow estimates for bias, based on fitting separate multinomial logistic models to the classification error probabilities and the true state transition...

When multilevel models are estimated from survey data derived using multistage sampling, unequal selection probabilities at any stage of sampling may induce bias in standard estimators, unless the sources of the unequal probabilities are fully controlled for in the covariates. This paper...

In observational studies the assignment of units to treatments is with unknown probabilities. Consequently, estimation and comparison of treatment effects based on the empirical distributions of the response under the various treatments can be biased since units exposed to one treatment could...

We propose simple parametric and nonparametric bootstrap methods for estimating the prediction mean square error (PMSE) of state vector predictors that use estimated model parameters. As is well known, substituting the model parameters by their estimates in the theoretical PMSE expression that...

We consider a model-dependent approach for multi-level modelling that accounts for informative probability sampling of first- and lower-level population units. The proposed approach consists of first extracting the hierarchical model holding for the sample data given the selected sample, as a...

Classification error can lead to substantial biases in the estimation of gross flows from longitudinal data. We propose a method to adjust flow estimates for bias, based on fitting separate multinomial logistic models to the classification error probabilities and the true state transition...

We consider a model dependent approach for multi-level modelling that accounts for informative probability sampling, and compare it with the use of probability weighting as proposed by Pfeffermann et al. (1998a). The new modelling approach consists of first extracting the hierarchical model...

The problem of Small Area Estimation is how to produce reliable estimates of area (domain) characteristics, when the sizes within the areas are too small to warrant the use of traditional direct survey estimates. This problem is commonly tackled by borrowing information from either neighboring...

We propose a simple but general bootstrap method for estimating the Prediction Mean Square Error (PMSE) of the state vector predictors when the unknown model parameters are estimated from the observed series. As is well known, substituting the model parameters by the sample estimates in the...