The rapid growth in demand and supply of sophisticated data mining and analytical decision tools calls for research to understand the value of learning, as well as how learning interacts with firms’ day-to-day marketing strategies.In this paper, we consider a market in which the firm can...

We develop a dynamic capital valuation model in which each farm can take an action with farm-varying cost to increase the probability of not contracting a disease. In the presence of infection externalities, circumstances are identified under which multiple equilibria exist and where the one...

This dissertation consists of three chapters relating to identification and inference in dynamic microeconometric models including dynamic discrete games with many players, dynamic games with discrete and continuous choices, and semiparametric binary choice and duration panel data...

We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under ambiguity in continuous time. Using results from (backward) stochastic calculus, we characterize the value function as the smallest (nonlinear) supermartingale dominating the payoff process. For Markovian models, we derive an adjusted...

En la cub: "Revised version: September 2015" ; En este trabajo investigamos la interacción entre estabilidad de precios y sostenibilidad de la deuda soberana en el marco de un modelo de pequeña economía abierta, en la cual el gobierno emite deuda nominal y elige la política fi scal y...

Incluye un apéndice en línea ; Los modelos de mercados incompletos con agentes heterogéneos están cobrando especial relevancia en los análisis de políticas económicas. En este documento proponemos una nueva metodología para resolver problemas de políticas dinámicas óptimas, tanto...

I show that relative levels of aggregate consumption and personal oil consumption provide anexcellent proxy for oil prices, and that high oil prices predict low future aggregate consumptiongrowth. Motivated by these facts, I add an oil consumption good to the long-run risk model of Bansal and...

This thesis examines the performance of different models of conditional betas and higher comoments in the context of the cross-section of expected stock returns, both in-sample and out-of-sample. I first examine the performance of different conditional market beta models by using monthly returns...

Empirically, the conditional volatility of aggregate consumption growth varies over time. While many papers test the consumption CAPM based on realized consumption growth, little is known about how the time-variation of consumption growth volatility affects asset prices. We show that in a model...

Recent developments in intertemporal asset pricing theory focus on two sets of fundamental determinants of asset returns. Models with complete markets emphasize aggregate variables such as per capita consumption. Such models have not performed well empirically. Models with incomplete markets...