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Vector error-correction models (VECMs) have become increasingly popular in their applications to financial markets. Standard VECM models assume that the cointegrating vectors are of full rank such that they contain no zero elements. However, applications of VECM models to financial market data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009451311
The thesis consists of two essays: "The CAPM -- A General Equilibrium Foundation" and "The Foreign Exchange Rate in Financial Markets".The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is one of the most successful models for portfolio selection. The utility functions are assumed to depend positively on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452580
I show that relative levels of aggregate consumption and personal oil consumption provide anexcellent proxy for oil prices, and that high oil prices predict low future aggregate consumptiongrowth. Motivated by these facts, I add an oil consumption good to the long-run risk model of Bansal and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009438584
This thesis examines the performance of different models of conditional betas and higher comoments in the context of the cross-section of expected stock returns, both in-sample and out-of-sample. I first examine the performance of different conditional market beta models by using monthly returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440933
Empirically, the conditional volatility of aggregate consumption growth varies over time. While many papers test the consumption CAPM based on realized consumption growth, little is known about how the time-variation of consumption growth volatility affects asset prices. We show that in a model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440955
Recent developments in intertemporal asset pricing theory focus on two sets of fundamental determinants of asset returns. Models with complete markets emphasize aggregate variables such as per capita consumption. Such models have not performed well empirically. Models with incomplete markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441191
Prior research documents that individual stock returns respond to earnings differently under new accounting standards, regulations, or changes in enforcement. This paper examines whether this result extends to the aggregate stock market. We take a macro perspective and study the properties of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441198
What is the effect of non-tradeable idiosyncratic risk on asset-market risk premiums? Constantinides and Duffie (1996) and Mankiw (1986) have shown that risk premiums will increase if the idiosyncratic shocks become more volatile during economic contractions. We add two important ingredients to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441309
ENGLISH ABSTRACT: In this thesis, we propose to use Levy processes to model the dynamics of asset prices. Inthe first part, we deal with single asset options and model the log stock prices with a Levyprocess. We employ pure jump Levy processes of infinite activity, in particular variancegamma...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442040
We investigate the applicability of the present-value asset pricing model to fishing quota markets by applying instrumental variable panel data estimation techniques to 15 years of market transactions from New Zealand's individual fishing quota market. In addition to the influence of current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445482