Is there timing ability in the exchange rate markets? We address this question by examining foreign firms' decisions to issue American Depositary Receipts (ADRs). Specifically, we test whether foreign firms consider currency market conditions in their ADR issuance decisions and, in doing so,...

American Depository Receipts (ADRs) represent shares of foreign firms that are issuedand traded in the U.S. Since an ADR and its underlying shares represent ownership interest ofthe same firm, they should be perfect substitutes in a perfect market. However, marketimperfections such as...

This paper studies the impact of foreign investment on domestic financial markets. It examines the empirical validity of some protectionist claims used by regulators to restrict foreign investment. These people argue that 1) trading by foreign investors tends to increase market volatility more...

Baker and Wurgler (2002) define a new theory of capital structure. In this theory capital structure evolves as the cumulative outcome of past attempts to time the equity market. Baker and Wurgler extend market timing theory to long-term capital structure, but their results do not clearly...

This paper examines evidence of predictability in Australian equities using both statistical and economic metrics of significance. A probit-based predictive model is used to forecast the probability that the 1 month ahead excess market return will be positive. Funds under management are then...

American Depository Receipts (ADRs) represent shares of foreign firms that are issued and traded in the U.S. Since an ADR and its underlying shares represent ownership interest of the same firm, they should be perfect substitutes in a perfect market. However, market imperfections such as...

This paper examines time-series patterns of external financing decisions and shows that publicly traded U.S, firms fund a much larger proportion of their financing deficit with external equity when the cost of equity capital is low. The historical values of the cost of equity capital have...

En este documento analizamos la correlación lineal y la dependencia de colas entre los fondos de cobertura denominados market neutral y la cartera de mercado condicionado en el ciclo económico. Documentamos que la baja correlación entre estos fondos y el índice S&P 500 resulta de la...

Approximately 50% of the households in America invest in the stock market. In many cases the investor's buy and hold strategy leads to negative returns. Given the stock market fluctuates up and down as time progresses, analysts examine stock prices, volumes traded and ratios to recommend buy and...

Das erste Paper behandelt den Survivorship Bias bei Aktienfonds. Dieser stellt eine systematische Überschätzung der Performance dar, die entsteht wenn in der Fondsgruppe nur die „Überlebenden“ berücksichtigt werden. Dies ist seit Grinblatt und Titman (1989) bekannt und seitdem in vielen...