This paper investigates the farm level impacts of multiple peril yield and revenue insurance in an expected value-variance framework. The analysis is conducted using stochastic simulation jointly with numerical optimisation. Simulation is used to compute the means and variances of revenues as...

Agriculture operates in an uncertain environment. Yields, prices, and resource usage can change dramatically from year to year. However, most analyses of the agricultural sector, at least those using mathematical programming methods, assume decision making is based on average yields, ignoring...

In this paper we formulate a model for foreign exchange exposure management and (international) cash management taking into consideration random fluctuations of exchange rates. A vector error correction model (VECM) is used to predict the random behaviour of the forward as well as spot rates...

We introduce a modelling paradigm which integrates credit risk and marketrisk in describing the random dynamical behaviour of the underlying fixed income assets.We then consider an asset and liability management (ALM) problem and develop a mul-tistage stochastic programming model which focuses...

This research focuses on developing a crop decision planning model to help farmers make decisions for an upcoming crop year. The decisions consist of which crops to plant, the amount of land to allocate to each crop, when to grow, when to harvest, and when to sell. The objective is to maximize...

In dieser Arbeit setzen wir uns mit den Auswirkungen von Risikobeschränkungen auf das optimale Verhalten eines Investors auseinander, welcher versucht, den erwarteten Endnutzen zu einem festgelegten Zeitpunkt zu maximieren. Dazu kann er ein vorgegebenes Anfangsvermögen in einem Markt...

In this dissertation, several essays in the field of bio-security are presented.The estimation of the probability of an FMD outbreak by type and location ofpremises is important for decision making. In Essay I, we estimate and predict theprobability/risk of an FMD outbreak spreading to the...

In recent years, dramatic changes in business factors have triggered a trend of manufacturing relocation out of 'The World's Factory', which is the Pearl River Delta (PRO), China. Global manufacturers in PRO have been facing unprecedented operating cost pressure, due to RI1B currency...

Fractional aircraft ownership programs offer companies and individuals all the benefits of owning private jet, such as safety, consistency, and guaranteed availability, at a fraction of the cost of owning an aircraft. In the fractional ownership model, the partial owners of an aircraft are...

This dissertation studies models for locating facilities in time varying demandenvironments. We describe the characteristics of the time varying demand that motivatethe analysis of our location models in terms of total demand and the changein value and location of the demand of each customer....