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We study the difference in the volatility dynamics of CBOT corn, soybeans, and oatsfutures prices across different delivery horizons via the smoothed Bayesian estimatorof Karali, Dorfman, and Thurman (2010). We show that the futures price volatilitiesin these markets are affected by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446386
The paper examines empirical returns from holding thirty- and ninety-day call and put positions,and the forecasting performance of implied volatility in the live and feeder cattle optionsmarkets. In both markets, implied volatility is an upwardly biased and inefficient predictor ofrealized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446388
Taken together, studies that examine how well commodity futures marketsperform find that risk premiums are common—and so unbiasedness is not—and marketsare not uniformly efficient across commodities or forecast horizons. This large body ofresearch sheds important light on whether and to what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446390
Futures prices when combined with a basis forecast provide a reliable way to forecast cashprices. The most popular method of forecasting basis is historical moving averages. Given therecent failure of longer moving averages proposed by previous studies, this research reassessespast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446394
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www.ifama.org
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009483595
takeinto account the different nature of both decisions. ‘Nearly zero’ investments are consideredto be small replacement or … maintenance investments and treated as ‘zero’ investments.The applied two-step Heckman model shows that the decision to invest is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444831
. By 2000 this figure has exceeded 60%. Since then the tendency of dynamic increase in capital investments into the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446465
Aktuellen Beobachtungen im deutschen Lebensmitteleinzelhandel (LEH) zufolge treten die Handelsunternehmen mit der Einführung von Premiumhandelsmarken bzw. Genusshandels-marken (als sehr jungen Premiumhandelsmarkentyp) in direkte Konkurrenz zu entsprechen-den Herstellermarken und stellen Themen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442834
The understanding of how allocation decisions can maximise the economic returns to the community from water for irrigation has received little attention, but is a significant issue for regional councils, those interested in water allocation policy development, and for irrigated farmers. There is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443714