The research presented in this thesis addresses different aspects of dynamic portfolio construction and portfolio risk measurement. It brings the research on dynamic portfolio optimization, replicating portfolio construction, dynamic portfolio risk measurement and volatility forecast together....

Deterministische Discounted Cash Flow Modelle (DCF-Modelle) greifen im Rahmen der Unternehmensbewertung lediglich auf einwertige Größen zurück. Bei stochastischen Modellen werden einzelne Plangrößen hingegen mehrwertig dargestellt, indem aus Wahrscheinlichkeitsverteilungen verschiedene...

The Neoclassical theory of production establishes a dual relationship between the profit value function of a competitive firm and its underlying production technology. This relationship, usually referred to as the duality theory, has been widely used in empirical work to estimate production...

Random Utility Models of recreation demand are widely used to relate demand and value to the characteristics of recreation sites. Although some kinds of endogeneity problems have been studied in previous literature, no study has addressed the potential problem with site characteristics that are...

This thesis is composed of two parts. The first parts deals with a technique for pricing American-style contingent options. The second part details a statistical arbitrage model using statistical process control approaches.We propose a novel simulation approach for pricing American-style...

This paper examines a version of the tests of Robinson (1994) that enables one to test models of the form (1-Lk)dxt = ut, where k is an integer value, d may be any real number, and ut is I(0). The most common cases are those with k = 1 (unit or fractional roots) and k = 4 and 12 (seasonal unit...

A new approach is proposed to select a predetermined number of ?reasonable" (the best in a certain sense) alternatives from the considerable (maybe a vast) set of initial alternatives according to an arbitrary number of optimization criteria and accounting for uncertainty factors. The approach...

This thesis presents a methodology to incorporate reservoir uncertainties and estimate the loss in project value when facility planning decisions are based on erroneous estimates of input variables. We propose a tank model along with integrated asset development model to simulate the concept...

GARCH models are commonly used as latent processes in econometrics, financial economics, and macroeconomics. Yet no exact likelihood analysis of these models has been provided so far. In this paper we outline the issues and suggest a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm which allows the...

This paper discusses a large-scale factor model for the German economy. Following the recent literature, a data set of 121 time series is used via principal component analysis to determine the factors, which enter a dynamic model for German GDP. The model is compared with alternative univariate...