In modeling expectation formation, economic agents are usually viewed as forming expectations adaptively or in accordance with some rationality postulate. We offer an alternative nonlinear model where agents exchange their opinions and information with each other. Such a model yields multiple...

En este estudio se propone un análisis econométrico de la evolución del crédito bancario al sector privado con el objetivo de describir los ciclos de crédito e identificar, por ejemplo, las fases de crecimiento anormalmente bajo, como las que suelen asociarse con episodios de crisis...

New residential construction is significantly more procyclical in emerging markets than in developed countries, although the correlation between aggregate investment and output is similar across emerging and developed countries. This paper shows that a multi-sector stochastic growth model with a...

Castro and Coen-Pirani (2008) document that aggregate skilled hours and employment both became more volatile after the mid-1980s, in contrast to the simultaneous volatility decline of most aggregates, including overall hours and employment and unskilled hours and employment. In chapter 1, I...

My thesis explores the following question: how workers of different skill are allocated across jobs and unemployment over the business cycle. I am interestedin understanding the "over-qualification" of workers that occurs during periods of high unemployment, as increased congestion in the labor...