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technology change the parameters based on time trends may be too large for long run forecasting. When there is clearly …) are two electricity intensive technology trends in the Paper and Steel industries, respectively. This paper presents the … estimates of the impact of TMP and EAF on electricity intensities, improves the estimates of the other price coefficients, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435383
peak demands 5% and reduced electricity sales 1% that year. Utility projections suggest that these reductions will increase … recoupling uses statistical models, based on historical data, that explain retail electricity sales as functions of the number of … utility customers, winter and summer weather, the condition of the local economy, electricity price, and perhaps a few other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435446
This document provides a range of high, medium, and low case long-term projections of Bonneville Power Administration`s (BPA) wholesale power rates and a medium case long-term projection of BPA`s wheeling rates. These projections are produced annually by BPA. BPA uses these projections in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435491
future. The future in the Carbon Cap Scenario has higher electricity prices, reduced driving, more renewable capacity, and … deterministic forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435766
model-based scenario, in which wind energy provides 20% of the U.S. electricity demand in 2030. The report discusses a set … already have a high penetration of wind power (i.e., in the range of 7 to 20% of electricity consumption in countries such as … United States as well as in Europe. A large-scale introduction of wind power causes a number of challenges for electricity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435867
The Supplement to the Annual Energy Outlook 1993 is a companion document to the Energy Information Administration`s (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook 1993 (AEO). Supplement tables provide the regional projections underlying the national data and projections in the AEO. The domestic coal, electric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435958
problems by forecasting some likely patterns of DER adoption. In sharp contrast to traditional electricity utility planning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436058
This publication provides detailed documentation of the load forecast scenarios and assumptions used in preparing BPA's 1991 Pacific Northwest Loads and Resources Study (the Study). This is one of two technical appendices to the Study; the other appendix details the utility-specific loads and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436068
analyzes the performance of previous forecasts, compares recent cases with those of other forecasting services, and discusses … from model simulations using the latest exogenous information available (for example, electricity sales and generation are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436072
electricity prices. In this light, the dramatic increase in natural gas prices since the 1990s should be a cause for ratepayer … forecasting abilities have proven rather dismal over time, as over-forecasts made in the late 1980's eventually yielded to under … prices (and by extension future electricity prices) may end up markedly different than expected. Second, this displacement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436086