Using a new dataset of currency option prices, we study the evolution of investor confidence in 1992-98 over the chance of individual currencies to converge to the euro. Convergence risk, which may reflect uncertainty over policy commitment as well as exogenous fundamentals, induces a level of...

We are interested in the concept of dynamic pricing of production capacity in a supply chain and in particular, understanding how the supply chain structure might affect the volatility of capacity prices. We find that supply chains with high capacity costs will experience high price volatility....

Es wird ein Ansatz und ein Algorithmus zur Lösung von stochastischen Stoppproblemen vorgestellt, der auf einer dualen Formulierung zum klassischen Lösungsansatz für Stoppprobleme mittels Variationsungleichungen basiert. Unter bestimmten Voraussetzungen kann man für diese duale Formulierung...

We study sequential decision making problems in cooperative systems where different agents with different information want to achieve a common objective. The sequential nature of the decision problem implies that all decisions can be arranged in a sequence such that the information available to...

This paper analyzes optimal pricing for information goods underincomplete information, when both unlimited-usage (fixed-fee) pricingand usage-based pricing are feasible and administering usage-basedpricing may involve transaction costs. It is shown that offeringfixed-fee pricing in addition to a...

Game theoretic modeling involves making assumptions on agents' infinite hierarchies of beliefs. These assumptions are understood to be only approximately satisfied in the actual situation. Thus, the significance of game theoretic predictions depend on robustness properties of the solution...

I present a simple model of intra-household allocation between spouses to show that when the quantity of resources available to the household is not perfectly observed by both spouses, hiding of income can occur even when revelation of the additional resources increases bargaining power. From...

There is evidence that some multi-person households may withhold income transfers, such as bonuses, gifts, and cash transfers, from other members of the household (Ashraf (2009); Vogler and Pahl, (1994)). In this paper, I show that the incentives to hide income under incomplete information...

In dieser Dissertation untersuchen wir die Terminstruktur der Kreditspreads auf Unternehmensanleihen bei korrelierten Unternehmensausfällen und asymmetrischer Information. Ausfallabhängigkeiten haben eine Reihe von Ursachen. Emittenten können durch direkte Beziehungen wie...

Diese Dissertation setzt sich aus fünf Forschungspapieren zusammen. Jedes Kapitel enthält ein Papier. Das erste Kapitel untersucht den Zusammenhang zwischen der Größe des Kundenstamms einer Firma und ihrem Gewinn in einem Markt mit Wechselkosten. Entgegen unserer Intuition wird gezeigt, dass...