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were used. The UECM of the ARDL model was applied which allowed capturing the long-run and short-run effects. The results … the presence of different variables in explaining the level of indebtedness in both periods. In the first period (1991M1 …- 1998M12), only financial effort is relevant when explaining the level of indebtedness of the economic agents. In the second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015243167
It has been a long debate whether Fed Funds target interest rate (FFTR) has significant explanatory power on interest rates in other countries. In this paper, we analyze the effects of FFTR on Bank of England (BOE) bank rate and European Central Bank (ECB) key interest rate employing-the rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015216565
instability. Using the ARDL model and bolstered by the stability exhibited in CUSUM and CUSUM square tests, we explore the impact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213546
The model proposed by Nelson and Siegel (1987) has been used for several researcher to fit the yield curve. In this paper we propose a discrete-time version of that model by using dynamic factors, such that the model is dynamic in the sense proposed by Diebold and Li (2006). We found the exact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015223702
This study investigates whether the term structure of interest rates contains useful information about future real economic activity and inflation in Turkey during the 1991:7-2004:3 periods. In order to analyze these relationships, we have employed the Generalized Impulse Response (GIRF)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015225485
The purpose of this paper is to test the (rational) expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates using Portuguese data for the interbank money market. The results obtained support only a very weak, long-run or "asymptotic" version of the hypothesis, and broadly agree with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229070
This paper examines the contemporaneous and inter-temporal interaction between real exchange rate and real interest rate differential in the two financial crises of 1997 and 2008 by using data from thirteen countries from different world regions. The empirical result shows that negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229682
This paper constructs unbiased and model-free measures of daily and hourly volatility of the overnight interest rate negotiated on the Italian interbank deposits market (e-MID) using high-frequency transaction data. We find that the largest increases in volatility and the most notable variations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015234659
loanable fund theory as theoretical model and ARDL bound testing approach for cointegration and Granger causality test to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015258679
We examine the accuracy of survey-based expectations of the Chilean exchange rate relative to the US dollar. Our out-of-sample analysis reveals that survey-based forecasts outperform the Driftless Random Walk (DRW) in terms of Mean Squared Prediction Error at several forecasting horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262273