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I show that relative levels of aggregate consumption and personal oil consumption provide anexcellent proxy for oil prices, and that high oil prices predict low future aggregate consumptiongrowth. Motivated by these facts, I add an oil consumption good to the long-run risk model of Bansal and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009438584
different conditional market beta models by using monthly returns of the Fama-French 25 portfolios formed by the quintiles of …-factor asset pricing models. Models tested are the CAPM, the Fama-French three-factor model and a four-factor model including the … three Fama-French factors and a momentum factor. Realized betas of different models are used in the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440933
Empirically, the conditional volatility of aggregate consumption growth varies over time. While many papers test the consumption CAPM based on realized consumption growth, little is known about how the time-variation of consumption growth volatility affects asset prices. We show that in a model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440955
Recent developments in intertemporal asset pricing theory focus on two sets of fundamental determinants of asset returns. Models with complete markets emphasize aggregate variables such as per capita consumption. Such models have not performed well empirically. Models with incomplete markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441191
Prior research documents that individual stock returns respond to earnings differently under new accounting standards, regulations, or changes in enforcement. This paper examines whether this result extends to the aggregate stock market. We take a macro perspective and study the properties of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441198
What is the effect of non-tradeable idiosyncratic risk on asset-market risk premiums? Constantinides and Duffie (1996) and Mankiw (1986) have shown that risk premiums will increase if the idiosyncratic shocks become more volatile during economic contractions. We add two important ingredients to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441309
ENGLISH ABSTRACT: In this thesis, we propose to use Levy processes to model the dynamics of asset prices. Inthe first part, we deal with single asset options and model the log stock prices with a Levyprocess. We employ pure jump Levy processes of infinite activity, in particular variancegamma...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442040
We investigate the applicability of the present-value asset pricing model to fishing quota markets by applying instrumental variable panel data estimation techniques to 15 years of market transactions from New Zealand's individual fishing quota market. In addition to the influence of current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445482
Farmland and capital are an important and rapidly expanding component of the agriculturaleconomy, and empirical evidence suggests that these assets are quasi-fixed in that adjustment costs are incurred when holdings are altered. Increased interest in the rate of return for investing in farmland...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446523
portfolios. Utilising the Fama-MacBeth (1973) procedure, it is found that conditional models perform better than unconditional … models. However, these conditional models do not outperform the Fama-French three-factor model. The fourth essay tests the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009448102