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The article shows that actual public expenditure in the period of rapid oil prices growth of the 2000s was less than optimal level in Russia. The macroeconomic model of Russian economy is the basis of current research. The main mechanism of growth in an optimum scenario is associated with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254253
In this study we investigate the cointegration relationship between interest rates and housing prices in South Africa using the autoregressive distributive (ARDL) model applied to quarterly data covering the post inflation targeting period of 2002:Q1 and 2016:Q4. Our empirical consists of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015256695
In this paper we analyze the relationship between the real Russian ruble exchange rate and real oil prices using the error correction model with Markov regime switching, which allows for changes in exchange rate policy. We find that during the period 1999-2018 real exchange rate dynamics was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015263782
The global financial crisis of 2008 sparked an ongoing debate concerning the interlink between monetary policy and equity returns. This study contributes to the debate by examining whether the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) repo rate responds asymmetrically to changes in the returns on four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254601
The paper estimates vector error correction model (VECM) for the real ruble exchange rate and the real oil prices. The VECM model takes into account the structural break in short run parameters due to monetary policy regime change in November 2014. Estimates show that the real exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015255525
This paper presents a critique of the traditional textbook representation of fiscal policy, and highlights the misleading policy implications perpetuated by this analysis. In particular, the conclusion that fiscal deficits are likely to be associated with higher interest rates is disputed, as is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481936
Las principales propuestas de reforma del marco de política fiscal de la Unión Europea inciden en tres bloques de cuestiones: i) simplificación de las reglas, para dotarlas de mayor transparencia y flexibilidad; ii) incorporación de nuevos instrumentos supranacionales de compartición de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014568828
Las principales propuestas de reforma del marco de política fiscal de la Unión Europea inciden en tres bloques de cuestiones: i) simplificación de las reglas, para dotarlas de mayor transparencia y flexibilidad; ii) incorporación de nuevos instrumentos supranacionales de compartición de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014568829
This paper examines the longstanding debate on government expenditure–economic growth nexus based on two opposing theories (i.e., Wagner’s Law and Keynesian theory) focusing on the Free State (FS) province in South Africa using both bivariate and trivariate models estimated for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213975
The objective of this paper is to identify and explain effects of a government spending shock. After accounting for large military events, I find that in response to a structural unanticipated government spending shock, output, hours, consumption and wages all rise, whereas investment falls on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015223782