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GARCH models are commonly used as latent processes in econometrics, financial economics, and macroeconomics. Yet no exact likelihood analysis of these models has been provided so far. In this paper we outline the issues and suggest a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm which allows the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441544
factor model with that of the heavy tailed univariate stochastic volatility model. A unified analysis of the model, and its …. (2006). 'Analysis of high dimensional multivariate stochastic volatility models', Journal of Econometrics, 134(2), 341 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441545
This paper is concerned with simulation-based inference in generalized models of stochastic volatility defined by heavy …-tailed Student-t distributions (with unknown degrees of freedom) and exogenous variables in the observation and volatility equations … several stochastic volatility models are formally compared under different priors on the parameters. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441450
This paper is concerned with the Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility (SV) models with leverage. Specifically …, the paper shows how the often used Kim et al. [1998. Stochastic volatility: likelihood inference and comparison with ARCH … volatility innovations by a suitably constructed ten-component mixture of bivariate normal distributions. The resulting posterior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441543
In 2003, an industry-financed, government-administered buyback of trawl fishing permits and vessels took place on the US West Coast, resulting in the retirement of about one-third of the limited-entry trawl fleet. The lack of cost data in this fishery precludes an analysis of how the buyback has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445081
The present dissertation consists of three stand-alone research papers that all deal with factor models from a Bayesian perspective, both in a theoretical and an empirical setup. More precisely, the thesis is organized in a progressive way as follows: Chapter 1 briefly presents the general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471699
We present an hierarchical Bayes approach to modeling parameter heterogeneity in generalized linear models. The model assumes that there are relevant subpopulations and that within each subpopulation the individual-level regression coefficients have a multivariate normal distribution. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476617
The point source is the most common type of source to be modeled for its effect on air pollution. Point sources provide auxiliary information that may impact both the mean and covariance structure of measured responses, but these possible impacts are often overlooked by spatial modelers. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431162
Hilfe der Fuzzy-Set Theorie und einem wissensbasierten System qualitative Risikoinformationen erfasst und einer … Monte Carlo simulation is particularly difficult. The second article presents how the fuzzy-set theory allows these factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009451171
The article examines the properties of generalized method of moments GMM estimators of utility function parameters. The research strategy is to apply the GMM procedure to generated data on asset returns from stochastic exchange economies; discrete methods and Markov chain models are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475496