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, which includes secular changes in the economic structure and a substantial reduction of output volatility. We find two … robust structural breaks in volatility at the end of WWII and in the mid-eighties, showing that the GM still holds in the … longer perspective. Furthermore, we show that GM volatility reduction is only linked to expansion features. We also date the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530485
into volatility persistence in stock returns. In part two, I show that the introduction of continuous trading on the WSE is … volatility on days after limit hits and positive autocorrelation in stock returns. I do not find significant advantages of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009460735
mid-1980s, in contrast to the simultaneous volatility decline of most aggregates, including overall hours and employment … the skill premium, it is interesting to check its short-run implications for employment volatility. The numerical results … DSGE models' implications for overall labor market' volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009450956
series (oil price and GDP growth rates) presents structural breaks in mean, we identify different volatility periods in both …, we obtain evidence, by means of a time-varying VAR, that the impact of the oil price shock on GDP growth has declined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530526
A recent outbreak of bird flu or avian influenza (AI), an especially highly pathogenicstrain (HPAI) of H5N1, started in Hong Kong in January 2003 and caused 159 humandeaths in Asia, Africa and Europe through early 2007. In addition, this outbreak resultedin millions of slaughtered birds and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009464889
, insbesondere der Zeitreihenanalyse liegt. Das Konzept besteht darin, sämtliche wiederkehrenden Aufgaben mit Hilfe von Java …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467166
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009449118
The first public share issue in the PRC took place in 1994. By the early 21st century, in the space of less than two decades, the Chinese stock market has become the largest one in Asia, with the exception of Japan. Along with this rapid enlargement of the market, the Chinese stock trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471788
This paper empirically examines the impact of oil price levels and volatility on key macroeconomic indicators of … Indonesia. In particular, two measures of volatility – historical volatility and realized volatility – are utilized and compared … for their different macroeconomic impacts. The relationships between oil price levels, the two volatility measurements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009449289
valuation of the asset at any given time. However, most models for forecasting the return or volatility of assets completely … Australian markets which show that this model improves high frequency volatility forecasts. This is most evident for news which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437639