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While much attention has focused on the modelling of the interdependencies between key aggregates and stock indices in industrialised countries, this thesis is focused on investments in emerging markets and real estate – two research branches that have up to now not been investigated to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009450173
, insbesondere der Zeitreihenanalyse liegt. Das Konzept besteht darin, sämtliche wiederkehrenden Aufgaben mit Hilfe von Java …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467166
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009449118
for testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Fractional … cointegration would imply that, although there exists a long-run relationship, the equilibrium errors exhibit slow reversion to zero …. It is found that the null hypothesis of no cointegration cannot be rejected for Japan. By contrast, there is some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481464
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our approach, based on the tests of Robinson (1994), introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the same framework (unlike earlier studies employing a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442364
Price volatility in the corn market has changed considerably globalization and stronger linkages to the energy complex. Using data from January 1989 through December 2009, we estimate and forecast the volatility in the corn market using futures daily prices. Estimates in a Fractional Integrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444337
The time horizon of decision-making is an essential dimension of economic problemsbut is difficult to explicitly define. In this thesis, we use time series analysisaugmented by wavelet transform methods to precisely identify distinct time horizonsin economic data and measure their explanatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009466260
contrast, permits the use of traditional time-series methods for modeling and forecasting. Building on the theory of continuous …-time arbitrage-free price processes and the theory of quadratic variation, we develop formal links between realized volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475490
Recent empirical studies have argued that the temporal dependencies in "nancialmarket volatility are best characterized by long memory, or fractionally integrated, timeseries models. Meanwhile, little is known about the properties of the semiparametric inference procedures underlying much of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475580
This paper examines historical data on daily real wages in England for the time period 1260-1994 by means of new statistical techniques suitable for modelling long memory both at the long run and the cyclical frequencies. Specifically, it uses a procedure due to Robinson (1994) which is based,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481455