Showing 1 - 10 of 380
persistence of inflation and the increased importance of backward-looking inflation expectations in some countries may pose risks … resolver este problema ; In this paper we look at global inflation trends over the last decade and try to disentangle factors … that could explain the ultra-low levels of inflation during the recovery from the Great Recession. We review the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012529567
average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF and Consensus … Economics compared to their counterparts that do not. The gains in forecast accuracy from incorporating inflation expectations … countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food and both point and density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012670001
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our approach, based on the tests of Robinson (1994), introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the same framework (unlike earlier studies employing a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442364
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our approach introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the same framework (unlike earlier studies employing a sequential procedure), using a Lagrange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481459
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our approach introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the same framework, using a Lagrange Multiplier procedure with a standard null limit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481461
fallen bei konstantem Rigiditätsgrad umso höher aus, je geringer die Inflationsrate ist. Für Inflationsraten unter zwei … Inflation sinkt.Das Anliegen des zweiten Beitrags, Abwärtsnominal- und Tariflohnstarrheit in Deutschland, ist, sowohl nach unten … implications of the downward nominal wage rigidity—under a constant degree of rigidity—increase for lower inflation rates. For …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009450184
information content of alternative inflation expectations measures, including those from consumers, firms, experts and financial … varies substantially across inflation expectations measures. In particular, we find that those from consumers and firms are … better at predicting inflation if compared to those from experts and, especially, those from financial markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012523777
The purpose of this working paper is to investigate if determinants have an impact on inflation rate in Eurozone …: Inflation rate as a dependent variable, and five independent variables such us: GDP to growth rate, Deficit to GDP rate, Public … Unemployment rate to the dependent variable Inflation rate. From the Linear Regression Model coefficients for inflation rate as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962659
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on "frictional growth", describing the … able to work themselves out fully. In this context, monetary shocks have a gradual and delayed effect on inflation, and … permanent nominal rigidities, and no departure from rational expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441372
This dissertation studies the question of nonlinearities in the Phillips curve relationshipin France, Germany and Italy. The implications from the theoretical models are that themechanisms that make the Phillips curve nonlinear can work through different channels.Therefore, this thesis not just...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471618