potentialearly warning indicators that are suggested by theory. Alongsideothers, these candidate indicators are tested in …

-Board-Systeme das Zeitinkonsistenzproblem der Geldpolitik lösen, da aufgrund ihrer gesetzlichen Verankerung eine überraschende … Zeitinkonsistenz­problem der Geldpolitik dominant ist, und dies obwohl asymmetrische Schocks nicht stabilisiert werden können. Eine …

This dissertation describes different conceptions of economic crises and different conceptions of contagion effects …. There is a survey of theoretical and empirical studies concerning contagion effects on financial markets. A theoretical … model describes a single contagion mechanism caused by information updating by investors. There is further an investigation …

This paper builds a general test of contagion in financial markets based on bivariate correlation analysis – a test … that can be interpreted as an extension of the normal correlation theorem. Contagion is defined as a structural break in … contagion is successful in controlling for a potential bias induced by changes in the variance of global shocks, current tests …

Using a sample of 1154 European firms from 11 countries, we show that firm-levelexchange exposure for Eurozone and non-Eurozone … European firms has increased sincethe introduction of the euro, but this rise was smaller for Eurozone than non … Eurozone countries, so the advent of the euroappears to have been associated with a shift in exchange risk from systematic to …

fixed majority rule in a simple shock structure. This insight is robust, if we apply more complex shock structures or if we …In der Geldpolitik besteht das grundsätzliche Problem die widerstreitenden Ziele "Preisstabilität" und …