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The transform likelihood ratio method for rare event simulation with heavy tails
Kroese, D. P.; Rubinstein, R. Y. - 2004
that not only it provides a unified view for heavy-tailed simulation but also can be efficiently used in simulation with … light-tailed distributions. We present extensive simulation results which support the efficiency of the TLR method. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009448798
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An overview of alternative fossil fuel price and carbon regulation scenarios
Wiser, Ryan; Bolinger, Mark - 2008
accurately forecasting oil prices. Overall, a spread between the FE-EERE High Oil Price and Reference scenarios of well over $8 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435456
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Securing Infrastructure from High Explosive Threats
Glascoe, L; Noble, C; Reynolds, J; Kuhl, A; Morris, J - 2009
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) is working with the Department of Homeland Security's Science and Technology Directorate, the Transportation Security Administration, and several infrastructure partners to characterize and help mitigate principal structural vulnerabilities to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435677
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Feasibility study to update annualized cost of leaving (ACOL) procedures at the Navy Personnel Research and Development Center (NPRDC)
Trumble, D.; Flanagan, D.M. - 2008
Personnel Research and Development Center (NPRDC), reviews existing forecasting and simulation methodologies and suggests new … manpower analysis at NPRDC, and NPRDC's history of officer loss-rate forecasting. Section 3 discusses the approach to model … ACOL model. Section 5 presents alternative modeling directions for forecasting and a summary of compensation policy issues …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435679
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Scenarios for Benefits Analysis of Energy Research, Development,Demonstration and Deployment
Gumerman, Etan; Marnay, Chris - 2008
deterministic forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435766
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Community-Level Impacts Projection System (CLIPS). Final report
Monts, J.K.; Bareiss, E.R. - 2007
The Community-Level Impacts Projection System includes a set of techniques for providing detailed advance information required for rational planning. The computerized system generates reports which enable the user: to describe the energy development activity in terms of its employment demands...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436029
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Hazards Response of Energetic Materials - Initiation Mechanisms, Experimental Characterization, and Development of Predictive Capability
Maienschein, J; Nichols III, A; Reaugh, J; McClelland, M; … - 2008
; (C) application of property data to predictive models; and (D) application of the models into predictive simulation. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436039
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Policy modeling for industrial energy use
Worrell, Ernst; Park, Hi-Chun; Lee, Sang-Gon; Jung, Yonghun - 2008
-efficiency modeling. The current state-of-the-art models have a proven track record in forecasting future trends under conditions similar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436119
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Modeling Utility-Scale Wind Power Plants, Part 2: Capacity Credit
Milligan, M. R. - 2008
-credit and accurate wind forecasting is also explored. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436178
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A Game Theoretic Approach to Cyber Attack Prediction
Peng Liu - 2009
The area investigated by this project is cyber attack prediction. With a focus on correlation-based prediction, current attack prediction methodologies overlook the strategic nature of cyber attack-defense scenarios. As a result, current cyber attack prediction methodologies are very limited in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436427