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show that ours performs significantly better in nowcasting the Spanish GDP. In addition, our indicator proves to be helpful …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012525028
. The analysis considers only the short-term effects on activity, which is very useful for preparing the projections on GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012525918
. The analysis considers only the short-term effects on activity, which is very useful for preparing the projections on GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012525953
En este trabajo se revisan algunas de las aplicaciones que utilizan la vasta información proporcionada por las búsquedas realizadas por los usuarios de Internet para el análisis y la previsión económica. Este enorme volumen de información, disponible en tiempo real, es manejable para los...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012529571
This paper reviews some of the applications that use the vast swathes of information provided by Internet user searches for economic analysis and forecasting. This enormous volume of information, available in real time, can be handled by analysts thanks to statistical tools such as “Google...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012529573
En este artículo se introducen nuevos esquemas de ponderación para promediar de modelos econométricos cuando se está interesado en combinar predicciones de variables discretas provenientes de modelos con cambios de régimen markoviano. En una aplicación empírica, se pronostican los puntos...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530567
model to produce nowcasts of GDP growth of Spanish regions, by means of dynamic factor models. This framework is capable to … available) and monthly information associated to indicators of regional real activity. We apply the BayFaR to nowcast the GDP … growth of the four largest regions of Spain, and illustrate the real-time nowcasting performance of the proposed framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012532149
combinaciones más amplias de modelos ; The focus of this paper is on nowcasting and forecasting quarterly private consumption. The … qualitative signals in the nowcasting horizon ; iii) Google-based and uncertainty indicators add value when combined with … traditional indicators, most notably at estimation horizons beyond the nowcasting one, what would be consistent with capturing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012532188
(Bayesian Factor model for Regions), a new tool used by the Banco de España for the short-term forecasting of the GDP of the … Spanish economy and of its biggest regions. The tool allows monthly indicators of activity to be combined with quarterly GDP … that is consistent with INE’s national quarterly GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012532423
Based on the 2008 Shaanxi Statistical Yearbook and the relevant data of Shaanxi GDP in the years 1952-2007, SPSS … GDP of Shaanxi Province in the next 6 years based on this model. Result shows that the relative error of actual value and … the GDP of Shaanxi Province is 647.750, 765.662, 905.866, 10735.10, 12744.69 and 15158.20 billion yuan in the year from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442702