Diese Dissertation entwickelt neue lokal adaptive Methoden zur Schaetzung und Vorhersage von Zeitreihendaten. Diese Methoden sind fuer die Volatilitaetsschaetzung von Finanzmarktrenditen und fuer Regressions- und Autoregressionsprobleme konstruiert worden. Die vorgeschlagenen Ansaetze werden als...

Design of nonlinear observers has received considerable attention since the early development of methods for linear state estimation. The most popular approach is the extended Kalman filter (EKF), that goes through significant degradation in the presence of nonlinearities, particularly if...

Nonparametric methods for the estimation of the Levy density of a Levy process X are developed. Estimators that can be writtenin terms of the "jumps" of X are introduced, and so are discrete-data based approximations. A model selection approach made up oftwo steps is investigated. The first step...

Two-stage sampling usually leads to higher variances for estimators of means and regression coefficients, because of intra-cluster homogeneity. One way of allowing for clustering in fitting a linear regression model is to use a linear mixed model with two levels. If the estimated intra-cluster...

Variable selection is a difficult problem in statistical model building. Identification of cost efficient diagnostic factors is very important to health researchers, but most variable selection methods do not take into account the cost of collecting data for the predictors. The trade off between...

Specifying a prior distribution for the large number of parameters in the linear statistical model is a difficult step in the Bayesian approach to the design and analysis of experiments. Here we address this difficulty by proposing the use of functional priors and then by working out important...

Data do not always obey the normality assumption, and outliers can have dramatic impacts on the quality of the least squares methods. We use Huber's loss function in developing robust methods for time-course multivariate responses. We use spline basis expansion of the time-varying regression...

El propósito de este documento es presentar el trabajo sobre la sectorización y clasificación de Holdings usando Machine Learning (en español, Aprendizaje Automático) que se ha desarrollado en la Central de Balances en el Banco de España durante el último año. Este trabajo también ha...

Censored median regression models have been shown to be useful for analyzing a variety of censored survival data with the robustness property. We study sparse estimation and inference of censored median regression. The new method minimizes an inverse censoring probability weighted least absolute...