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This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our approach, based on the tests of Robinson (1994), introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the same framework (unlike earlier studies employing a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442364
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our approach introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the same framework (unlike earlier studies employing a sequential procedure), using a Lagrange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481459
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our approach introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the same framework, using a Lagrange Multiplier procedure with a standard null limit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481461
This paper examines the long-run dynamics and the cyclical structure of the US stock market using fractional integration techniques. We implement a version of the tests of Robinson (1994a), which enables one to consider unit roots with possibly fractional orders of integration both at the zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481462
The first public share issue in the PRC took place in 1994. By the early 21st century, in the space of less than two decades, the Chinese stock market has become the largest one in Asia, with the exception of Japan. Along with this rapid enlargement of the market, the Chinese stock trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471788
This paper examines a version of the tests of Robinson (1994) that enables one to test models of the form (1-Lk)dxt = ut, where k is an integer value, d may be any real number, and ut is I(0). The most common cases are those with k = 1 (unit or fractional roots) and k = 4 and 12 (seasonal unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481456
valuation of the asset at any given time. However, most models for forecasting the return or volatility of assets completely … Australian markets which show that this model improves high frequency volatility forecasts. This is most evident for news which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437639
The efficient market hypothesis states that an efficient market immediately incorporates all available information into the price of the traded entity. It is well established that the stock market is not an efficient market as it consists of numerous traders with differing strategies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437733
This study analyzes the impact of stock market liberalization on emerging equity market volatility, in twelve emerging … time-varying nature of conditional volatility following initial market opening. Second, we analyze the effect of … liberalization on stock market volatility while controlling for the fundamental sources of emerging equity market volatility. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429052
into volatility persistence in stock returns. In part two, I show that the introduction of continuous trading on the WSE is … volatility on days after limit hits and positive autocorrelation in stock returns. I do not find significant advantages of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009460735