Becker, Ralf; Clements, Adam; McClelland, Andrew - 2009
-based forecast could not. This paper considers two issues relating to the informational content of the S&P 500 VIX implied volatility …-based forecasts. It is found that the VIX index both subsumes information relating to past jump contributions to total volatility and …-based forecasts. Implied volatility is a market determined forecast, in contrast to model-based forecasts that employ some degree of …