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In this paper we show that the MSCI ACWI Metals and Mining Index has the ability to predict base metal prices. We use both in-sample and out-of-sample exercises to conduct such examination. The theoretical underpinning of these results relies on the present-value model for stock-price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015243686
is so because when some specific conditions of efficiency are not met, the forecast displaying the lowest MSPE will also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229363
forecast risk across markets. Risk managers, investors and financial institutions require dynamic multi-period VaR forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015256949
The purpose of this work is to identify variables that are relevant to the copper price setting in the international market. Thus statistical hypothesis tests and statistical tools that help to identify historical relevance and to measure the intensity of the impact of each variable on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015265034
We propose two tests for the equality of covariance matrices between two high-dimensional populations. One test is on the whole variance-covariance matrices, and the other is on offdiagonal sub-matrices which define the covariance between two non-overlapping segments of the high-dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015236626
We propose two tests for the equality of covariance matrices between two high-dimensional populations. One test is on the whole variance-covariance matrices, and the other is on offdiagonal sub-matrices which define the covariance between two non-overlapping segments of the high-dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015236727
This paper studies empirically the emerging Asian stock market vulnerability to pandemics. Taking the Covid-19 virus as a case study, we used the ARDL panel data approach to investigate the impact of the daily Covid-19 confirmed cases along with a behavioral component based on a triggering fear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015212787
This paper studies empirically the emerging Asian stock market vulnerability to pandemics. Taking the Covid-19 virus as a case study, we used the ARDL panel data approach to investigate the impact of the daily Covid-19 confirmed cases along with a behavioral component based on a triggering fear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015331503
This paper studies empirically the emerging Asian stock market vulnerability to pandemics. Taking the Covid-19 virus as a case study, we used the ARDL panel data approach to investigate the impact of the daily Covid-19 confirmed cases along with a behavioral component based on a triggering fear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015331504
Non-Gaussian state-space models arise in several applications, and within this framework the binary time series setting provides a relevant example. However, unlike for Gaussian state-space models — where filtering, predictive and smoothing distributions are available in closed form — binary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214276