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Fashions are hard to resist, and it is now fashionable in much of the North to rely on a fiscal engine of growth. As for emerging markets, however, boosting spending at a time in which revenues are contracting or, in many cases, collapsing for an uncertain period of time is an more complicated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015217946
Following the US financial crisis of 2006-2007, the global economy suffered from negative spillover effects of it since fall 2008. In this study, the effects of global financial crsis on Turkish economy (2008-2010) and the macroeconomic performance of the Turkish government (before and) during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015225975
Hong Kong is no stranger to bubbles or crisis. During the Asian Financial Crisis(AFC), the Hong Kong housing price index drops more than 50% in less than a year. The same market then experiences the Internet Bubble, the SARS attack, and recently the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015227363
In October 2008 the main Hungarian public finance actors: the government, the National Bank of Hungary (MNB) and experts cited the high public debt and volume of unsecured foreign-currency loans as the main reasons for the economy’s vulnerability. On the other hand according to the formal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015233127
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models are the main tool used in Academia and in Central Banks to evaluate the business cycle for policy and forecasting analyses. Despite the recent advances in improving the fit of DSGE models to the data, the misspecification issue still remains....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015258404
In this chapter, we review the recent and growing literature on medium-term growth patterns. This strand of research emerged from the realization that for most countries economic development is a highly unstable process; over a few decades, a typical country enjoys periods of rapid growth as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015264214
The main objective of this research is to make an assessment of the symmetry/asymmetry of underlying macroeconomic shocks in the Eurasia region. A model is developed to distinguish structural global supply shocks, regional supply shocks, and domestic supply shocks using a reduced-form structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015264888
We re-assess Blanchard-Kiyotaki (1987). We conclude that there are multiple equilibria even under the flexible-price Blanchard-Kiyotaki model, and that the model only obtains equilibrium uniqueness through the symmetry condition that is partially justified only when there are infinitely many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015265605
We argue that the paradox of flexibility - that more flexible price results in worse outcomes when zero lower bound is binding - is ruled out once we consider an implicit equilibrium selection mechanism used when solving a New Keynesian model often not explicitly stated - the symmetric limit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015265742
Amid global financial turbulent, the economy of Indonesia posted an annual average growth of above 6 per cent between 2008 and 2012, except in 2009. This was arguably among the most stable growth performance among the regional economies of East and Southeast Asia. The strength of domestic demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015238306