The first public share issue in the PRC took place in 1994. By the early 21st century, in the space of less than two decades, the Chinese stock market has become the largest one in Asia, with the exception of Japan. Along with this rapid enlargement of the market, the Chinese stock trading...

It has been widely assumed that there was a bubble in the U.S. housing market after1999.This paper analyzes the extent to which that was true. We define a bubble as: (1) a regime shift that is characterized by a change in the properties of deviations from the fundamentals of house price growth,...

In modeling expectation formation, economic agents are usually viewed as forming expectations adaptively or in accordance with some rationality postulate. We offer an alternative nonlinear model where agents exchange their opinions and information with each other. Such a model yields multiple...

Incluye bibliografía ; Este documento estudia la dinámica de los precios de las acciones en un modelo tipo «árbol de Lucas» en el que los inversores tienen vidas finitas y aprenden de su propia experiencia. Los individuos actualizan sus expectativas mediante aprendizaje bayesiano basado en...

University of Minnesota Ph.D. dissertation. August 2009. Major: Economics. Advisor: Narayana Kocherlakota. 1 computer file (PDF); iv, 65 pages, appendices A-B.

Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit wurden Ambiguitätsindikatoren aus Erkenntnissen der Ambiguitäts-, Medien- und Kommunikationsforschung abgeleitet, die ambige Informationszustände beschreiben bzw. unter denen eine erhöhte wahrgenommene Unsicherheit besteht oder entstehen kann. Diese lauten: Zu wenige...

The present thesis is a microstructure study of the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE). In the first part, I find evidence in favor of the so-calles mixture of distributions hypothesis according to which the time-variant daily order flow translates into volatility persistence in stock returns. In part...

The launch of financial reforms in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) at the beginning of the 1990s stimulated increased interest of investors and academics in the newly-born stock markets of this region. Most of the existing studies, however, consider a group of the CEE markets, stressing their...