. Various analytical models have been developed around the world to help the track design engineer better understand the … consequences of variations and innovations in track design. The creators of six recently developed models from Canada, China …, outputs and applicability of those models. Although detailed instructions were given to the benchmark participants, variations …

incremental information relative to Iowa. Simple combinations of these models and outlook forecasts are able to reduce forecast …

-households facing different scenarios, with a particular focus on the effects ofthe 2003 CAP reform. Models were built for individual … of cases. The models offer useful insights aboutthe mechanisms of adaptation and their implications for the effects of …

the cycle. This paper uses markov regime-switching models with fixed and duration dependent transition probabilities to …

, subnational forecasts are currently prepared using deterministic models which fail to properly address the issue of demographic … of problems. Probabilistic population forecasting models have the potential to overcome many of these problems, but these … models have so far been limited to national level forecasts. This paper reports a first attempt to implement a probabilistic …

-causes volatility without feedback. These results are broadly consistent with behavioral models like the overconfidence and biased self …

States over the period January 1978 to December 1997. These estimates are derived from parametric statistical models of …