visibility, it was believed we could achieve this goal in a very efficient and effective manner. The grand prize of $200K was …

indicate,with one exception, no meaningful differences in forecast accuracy between outlook forecastsand futures prices. The …

flexibility and model averaging consistently outperform Iowa outlook estimates at all forecast horizons. Evidence from the … encompassing tests, which are highly stringent tests of forecast performance, indicates that many price forecasts do provide … incremental information relative to Iowa. Simple combinations of these models and outlook forecasts are able to reduce forecast …

The primary object of this dissertation is building a model to forecast the number of route related passengers. This … create a new complex tool to forecast the number of route related passengers. This tool is divided into four modular parts:1 … this dissertation builds the fundament for a causal, quantitative, rather exact, generalized, and objective forecast of air …

this has stimulated the interest of the research community to seek a more analytical method for TPI forecast. The purpose … models. With a mean absolute percentage error for a three-year ahead forecast at 2.9% level, the developed VEC model …

Commodity price uncertainty imposes large costs on society. On the macro level, it results in sudden and unexpected …. Accurate price forecasts have the potential to remove some of this uncertainty and allow for a more efficient distribution of … non-OECD countries, which suffer significantly more from commodity price uncertainty than their OECD counterparts. …

forecast were surveyed theoretically. In the second part of the Master paper all the analysed forecast models were practically …) fitting for Lithuanian consumers prices index forecast were done. The most appropriate models for Euro zone, Latvian and … Estonian consumers prices index forecast were established. To models determination, the CPI meanings from 1992 (EU), 1996 (LV …

economic in the country, risk and uncertainty in financial markets, the significance of investment and long-term saving … development, also, provide the forecast of mutual funds capital for 2011 – 2012 year. Tasks of the work:1. To analyze the …