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This article presents a multi-sectoral composite indicator for the Swiss GDP growth rate, targeting a lead of two quarters. The in-sample period ranges from 1991 to 2002 and 14 data points are reserved as out of sample to assess the forecasting performance. The results appear promising, in terms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009448541
is therefore difficult to use computer models to make forecasts or to test hypotheses concerning the relationship between … management research can indeed benefit from computer models by using them to formulate fruitful hypotheses. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009483246
a detailed explanation modifies behavior favorably relative to when an unclear explanation is provided. However, for all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009466030
In a series of joint papers, Teppo Felin and Nicolai J. Foss recently launched a microfoundations project in the field of strategic management. Felin and Foss observe that extant explanations in strategic management are predominantly collectivist or macro. Routines and organizational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009455664
Traditional accounts of explanation fail to illuminate the explanatory relevance of “models that are descriptively … false” in the sense that the regularities they entail fail to obtain. In this paper, I propose an account of explanation …, which I call ‘explanation by concretization’, that serves to explicate the explanatory relevance of such models. Starting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009455667
training data (as in bagging or boosting) and running a conventional tree-building algorithm, or by randomizing the induction … algorithm itself. The objective of this paper is to describe the first experiences with a novel randomized tree induction method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436448
training data (as in bagging or arcing) and running a conventional tree-building algorithm, or by randomizing the induction … algorithm itself. The objective of this paper is to describe our first experiences with a novel randomized tree induction method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436847
major products: household refrigerators, room air conditioners, three-phase (squirrel cage) induction motors, and clothes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437130
hypotheses by analyzing actual decisions for a large portfolio of IT initiatives in a unique, naturally controlled empirical … during IT portfolio planning. I build on the logic of appropriateness, to propose an endogenous explanation for the evolution … hypotheses in a unique empirical setting using a three-stage methodology. This dissertation examines strategic alignment and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009477679
firms that derive value from their initial investment. Theseresults provide an explanation of simultaneity in IT value …. Our work suggests replacing“either-or” views of causality with a positive feedback loopconceptualization in which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435044