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Inflation expectations have been of great interest to economists because they predict how agents in an economy set prices and react to changes in various macroeconomic variables. The existence of Keynesian liquidity traps in Japan and the United States have helped emphasize the importance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009468735
This thesis builds a stochastic volatility model for the term structure of interest rates, which is also known as the dynamics of the yield curve. The main purpose of the model is to propose a parsimonious and plausible approach to capture some characteristics that conform to some empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431300
Konstruktion des Zinsfaktors, der Laufzeit der Zinssätze sowie der Orthogonalisierung des Zins- bzgl. des Marktfaktors variiert … statistische Theorie postuliert. Der Zinsfaktor ist stets deutlich signifikanter und hat einen höheren Erklärungsgehalt, wenn der … has the strongest impact on the results as also postulated by statistic theory. The interest rate factor is always …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009447147
Charakterisierung der Geldpolitik wird dann die Zinsstruktur unter der Annahme fehlender Arbitragemöglichkeiten hergeleitet. Das …. Die Analyse offenbart, dass der "curvature"-Faktor informativer in Bezug auf die zukünftige Entwicklung der Zinsstruktur …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467089
In der vorliegenden Arbeit werden im theoretischen Teil die bekannten Verfahren zur Schätzung der deutschen Zinsstrukturkurve vorgestellt.Im praktischen Teil werden drei Modelle an Hand von wöchentlichen Anleihepreisdaten von Januar 1999 bis Dezember 2000 miteinanderverglichen. Außerdem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471672
Dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) price interest rate derivatives based on the modelimplied fair values of the yield curve, ignoring any pricing residuals on the yield curve that are either from model approximations or market imperfections. In contrast, option pricing in practice often takes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440749
This paper estimates the slope of the yield curve using quarterly data on real GDP and the nominal spread proxied by the difference in returns from the 10 year bond rate and the 90 day bill rate. The time-series analysis after proper unit root tests using stationary variables revealed that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009447991
U.S. Treasury Securities are crucially important in many areas of finance. However, zero-coupon yields are not observable in the market. Even though published zero-coupon yields exist, they are sometimes not available for certain research topics or for high frequency. Recently, high frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465113
We propose a model that delivers endogenous variations in term spreads driven primarily by banks’ portfolio decision and their appetite to bear the risk of maturity transformation. We first show that fluctuations of the future profitability of banks’ portfolios affect their ability to cover...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530386
Este artículo presenta una nueva metodología para estimar el gasto financiero de la Administración Central. La idea subyacente es la de representar desagregadamente la dinámica de la deuda y del gasto por intereses a partir de cuatro elementos: el saldo vivo de la deuda pública inicial, las...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530511