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A consistent empirical feature of bond yields is that term premia are, on average, positive. The majority of theoretical explanations for this observation have viewed the term premia through the lens of the consumption based capital asset pricing model. In contrast, we harken to an older...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671888
In this paper, an Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) and a Fixed Rate Mortgage (FRM) are formalized and studied in a simple continuous-time setting under the assumption of a simple one-factor Affine Term Structure (ATS). Through an application of existing results from ATS theory, it is shown that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649291
Following (Almeida, Ardison, Kubudi, Simonsen, & Vicente, 2018) we implement a segmented three factor Nelson-Siegel model for the yield curve using daily observable bond prices and short term interbank rates for Colombia. The flexible estimation for each segment (short, medium, and long)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012549263
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012659594
This paper examines the predictive ability of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates in the BRICS and G7 countries by relating each country’s monthly 3‑month Treasury bill rate to 10‑year government bond rates, from May 2003 to May 2018. The panel ARDL model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665036
This study examines the connectedness between the US yield curve components (i.e., level, slope, and curvature), exchange rates, and the historical volatility of the exchange rates of the main safe-haven fiat currencies (Canada, Switzerland, EURO, Japan, and the UK) and the leading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617325
Purpose - To examine the relationship between the term structure of interest rates of sovereign bonds in emerging nations and their macroeconomic indicators, specifically emphasizing its persistence and interaction with inflation, foreign exchange and fiscal conditions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015132812
In this paper we decompose Turkish Lira interest rates into expected short rate and term premium components, using two well-established methods. Then we focus on the impact of the share of foreign investors on bond yields by instrumenting that share with VIX and Merry Lynch option volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014495155
This paper econometrically models the dynamics of Indian rupee (INR) swap yields based on key macroeconomic factors using the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) approach. It examines whether the short-term interest rate has a decisive influence on long-term INR swap yields after controlling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014507230
We estimate the term premium implicit in 10-year Mexican government bonds from2004 to 2019, and analyze the main determinants explaining its dynamics. We decomposethe long-term interest rate into its two components: the expected short-terminterest rate and the term premium. The first is obtained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014514715