Economic performance increasingly relies on global economic environment due to the growing importance of trade and financial links among countries. This work aims to analyze the possible effects of a potential economic growth downturn or one large negative shock in China, Germany and United...

The world economy is expanding at a more moderate pace with growth momentum continuing to shift from emerging to advanced economies. World GDP will increase by 3.3 per cent this year – even some-what less than the already modest growth in the recent past. For 2016 and 2017 we expect growth to...

Die weltwirtschaftliche Dynamik bleibt vorerst mäßig. Dabei verlagern sich die Auftriebskräfte weiter von den Schwellenländern zu den fortgeschrittenen Volkswirtschaften. Die Zunahme der Weltproduktion, gerechnet auf Basis von Kaufkraftparitäten, wird in diesem Jahr mit einer Rate von 3,3...

In the U.S. economy during the past 25 years, house prices exhibit fluctuations considerably larger than house rents, and these large fluctuations tend to move together with business cycles. We build a simple theoretical model to characterize these observations by showing the tight connection...

This is an empirical study on the effect of house price on stock-market participation and its depths based on unique China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) data in 2011 and 2013 including 36213 sample households. We mainly found that, with an increase of one thousand RMB per square meter in macro...