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The U.S. Subprime Crisis and the subsequent Great Recession have highlighted a renewed interest in the proper design and implementation of Early Warning Systems (E.W.S.), in order to help deter the onset of subsequent extreme financial events, through the implementation of adequate crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347094
Following the winter recession and stagnation in the second quarter of 2023, the economic upswing is proceeding at a sluggish pace, contrary to expectations over the summer. Weak foreign demand and ongoing inflation have proven to be slowing economic growth. For the time being, private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362798
The unequal distribution of labor income in Germany is a hotly debated topic among policymakers and the general public alike. However, the relevant data for calculating the distribution is usually available with a delay of sometimes over two years. Accordingly, previous studies have only been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431177
The recovery of the German economy is becoming an exercise in patience. In the third quarter of 2023 the economy fared worse than expected, in particular because private households continued to spend their money conservatively despite climbing wages and falling inflation. Both private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014466268
aims to study the results of Parkiet's competitions of macroeconomic forecasting during 2015-2019. Based on a logit model …, we analyse whether more accurate forecasting of some selected macroeconomic variables (e.g. inflation) increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012303639
, including statistical misspecification, non-identification of deep parameters, substantive inadequacy, weak forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355187
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This paper is devoted to the issue of forecasting financial ratios. The objective of the conducted research is to … of these models, it is evident that the refined processes are effective in improving the forecasting of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011889559