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made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
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In several recent studies unit root methods have been used in detection of financial bubbles in asset prices. The basic idea is that fundamental changes in the autocorrelation structure of relevant time series imply the presence of a rational price bubble. We provide cross-country evidence for...
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Alle Kapitel dieser Doktorarbeit beleuchten das Thema Aktienfaktoren, allerdings aus unterschiedlichen Perspektiven. Das zentrale Ziel ist es, zum Verständnis von einigen der ältesten und anerkanntesten Aktienfaktoren beizutragen. Das erste Kapitel geht über die Vorhersagbarkeit von...
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forecasting. Economic forecasting is made difficult by economic complexity, which implies non-linearities (multiple interactions … the algorithm in forecasting GDP growth 3- to 12-months ahead is assessed through simulations in pseudo-real-time for six …
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