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The cointegration revolution has had a substantial impact on applied analysis. The methods for conducting this analysis are sketched out, reminding the reader of the ideas underlying them and giving sufficient background for empirical work. The treatment can be used as a textbook for courses on...
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The dynamic comovement between time series is a key concept in macroeconomic analysis. The extent to which series are cyclically synchronized is particularly important for evaluating the feasibility of common policy measures for groups of countries. This paper investigates concepts in the time...
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We study the forecasting performance of three alternative large scale approaches for German key macroeconomic variables using a dataset that consists of 123 variables in quarterly frequency. These three approaches handle the dimensionality problem evoked by such a large dataset by aggregating...
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