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cycle in Germany and in the United States. Previous research has found that, firstly, the extensive margin dominates and … Germany it is quite volatile over time. In general the intensive margin in Germany is more important than in the United States … Great Recession and the subsequent time period the intensive margin is dominant in Germany independent of the choice of the …
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We present a descriptive analysis of stylized facts for the German business cycle. We demonstrate that simple ad-hoc instructions for identifying univariate rules characterizing the German business cycle 1955-1994 lead to an error rate comparable to standard multivariate methods.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770530
what extent business cycles or unemployment levels influence entries into entrepreneurship. Our analysis for Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229512
This paper uses several macroeconomic and financial indicators within a Markov Switching (MS) framework to predict the turning points of the business cycle. The presented model is applied to monthly German real-time data covering the recession and the recovery after the financial crisis. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339952
In an a priori view, it is usually assumed that the business cycle of manufacturing industries leads the business cycle of the service sector. This seems to be even more plausible for the relationship between business-related services, whose high growth rates in recent years were largely due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442943
Using administrative data from Germany, this paper analyzes the relation between wages and past and current labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544266
A growing literature investigates how firms' innovation input reacts to changes in the business cycle. However, so far there is no evidence whether there is cyclicality in the effects of innovation on firm performance as well. In this paper, we investigate the employment effects of innovations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563081
We document two striking facts about U.S. firm dynamics and interpret their significance for aggregate employment dynamics. The first observation is the steady decline in the firm entry rate over the last thirty years, and the second is the gradual shift of employment from younger to older firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459706
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