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Financial conditions indexes are developed for the United States and euro area using a wide range of financial indicators and a dynamic factor model. The financial conditions indexes are shown to be useful for forecasting economic activity and have good revision properties
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Financial conditions indexes are developed for the United States and euro area using a wide range of financial indicators and a dynamic factor model. The financial conditions indexes are shown to be useful for forecasting economic activity and have good revision properties
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125869
The survey based monthly US ISM production index and Eurozone manufacturing PMI output index provide early information … Eurozone manufacturing PMI output index. I apply the method under different assumptions on the cross-sectional distribution of …
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Aggregate financial conditions indices (FCIs) are constructed to fulfil two aims: (i) The FCIs should resemble non-model-based composite indices in that their composition is adequately invariant for concatenation during regular updates; (ii) the concatenated FCIs should outperform financial...
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