In monetary policy strategies geared towards maintaining price stability conditional and unconditional forecasts of inflation and output play an important role. In this paper we illustrate how modern sticky-price dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, estimated using Bayesian...

Recent articles suggest that a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) with shrinkage is a good forecast device even when the number of variables is large. In this paper we evaluate different variants of the BVAR with respect to their forecast accuracy for euro area real GDP growth and HICP...

The use of speech data in nowcasting models is a new topic while the use of sentiment and emotion indicators from microblogs and internet platforms in nowcasting models has been discussed in the literature. The effect of the speech data of European Central Bank's (ECB) officials on nowcasting...