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This chapter provides a survey of the recent work on learning in the context of macroeconomics. Learning has several … roles. First, it provides a boundedly rational model of how rational expectations can be achieved. Secondly, learning acts … as a selection device in models with multiple REE (rational expectations equilibria). Third, the learning dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024243
This paper models expectation formation by taking into account that agents produce heterogeneous expectations due to model uncertainty, informational frictions and different capacities for processing information. We show that there are two general classes of steady states within this framework:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099023
We study the impact of adaptive learning for the design of a robust monetary policy using a small open-economy New … with model misspecification. Learning induces an intertemporal trade-off for the central bank, i.e., stabilizing inflation … possibility to conduct robust monetary policy is limited in a small open economy under learning for any exchange rate pass …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292350
estimation of the parameters in an auxiliary model. The learning scheme employed by the agents belongs to the class of stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381034
macroeconomic models in which agents are boundedly rational and use an adaptive learning rule to form expectations of the endogenous … estimate it empirically. Two prominent learning algorithms are considered, namely constant gain and decreasing gain learning …. For each of the two learning rules, the analysis proceeds in two stages. First, the paper derives the asymptotic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333062
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191331
This survey discusses behavioral and experimental macroeconomics emphasizing a complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous agents who do not fully understand their complex environment and use simple decision heuristics. Central to our survey is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929804
Forward-looking RE models such as the popular New Keynesian (NK) model do not provide a unique prediction about how the model economy behaves. We need some mechanism that ensures determinacy. McCallum (2011) says it is not needed because models are learnable only with the determinate solution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583719
Adaptive learning under constant-gain allows persistent deviations of beliefs from equilibrium so as to more … learning estimates for a general class of dynamic macroeconomic models under constant-gain learning. Our approximation provides … renewed convergence conditions that depend on the learning gain and the model's structural parameters. We validate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011997475
I introduce Expectational Business Cycles where aggregate activity fluctuates due to learning, heterogeneous updating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068089