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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394237
capital account surplus because of the appreciation of the rupee. -- Forecasting Indian Economic Growth ; Economic Outlook and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003899434
made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
of policy measures to get the Indian economy back on the path of sustained rapid and inclusive growth. -- Forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003817276
Recently introduced measure for Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) seems to have a role to play in forecasting out …-2016. Inclusion of EPU measures either for the US, UK or overall European economies improves the forecasting ability of models based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962828
of the historical forecasting track record, but distinguish between a "safe" regime and a "downturn-risk" regime. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823611
This paper attempts to develop a financial vulnerability indicator for China as a barometer for the state of financial vulnerability in the Chinese financial market, possibly for real-time application. Twelve variables from different sectors are utilised to extract a common vulnerability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012505627
The U.S. Subprime Crisis and the subsequent Great Recession have highlighted a renewed interest in the proper design and implementation of Early Warning Systems (E.W.S.), in order to help deter the onset of subsequent extreme financial events, through the implementation of adequate crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347094
or quarterly data supplied by central statistical agencies for macroeconomic modelling and forecasting. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641311
During the ongoing financial crisis the analysis of similar historical crises has gained more and more attention among economic researchers and forecasters. Existing studies, however, do not tackle the immense heterogeneity that is present in cross-country samples in a formal and consistent way....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832101