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explained by wake-up-call contagion. Evidence on pure contagion however is very mixed and there are no insights into the … dynamics of these effects. As a contribution to fill this gap, we apply the canonical contagion framework of Pesaran and Pick … [2007], similar to Metiu [2012], for daily data from January 2002 until May 2013. By adapting the contagion function used by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239744
plunging stock market in the US, in the aftermath of global financial crisis (2007 - 2009), exerts contagion effects on … terms, and time-varying correlations. The empirical analysis shows a contagion effect for Brazil and Mexico during the early …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490457
This paper proposes an original three-part sequential testing procedure (STP), with which to test for contagion using a … test is applied to the correlation matrix to identify and date the potential contagion mechanism. As a third element, the … STP tests for the distinctiveness of the break dates previously found. Compared to traditional contagion tests in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484769
This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several … channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446
Using variance decompositions in vector auto-regressions (VARs) we model a high-dimensional network of European CDS spreads to assess the transmission of credit risk to the non-financial corporate sector. Our findings suggest a sectoral clustering in the CDS network, where financial institutions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317318
Using variance decompositions in vector auto-regressions (VARs) we model a high-dimensional network of European CDS spreads to assess the transmission of credit risk to the non-financial corporate sector. Our findings suggest a sectoral clustering in the CDS network, where financial institutions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978741
and volatilities (contagion). More precisely, cyber attacks appear to strengthen cross-market linkages, thereby reducing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219891
Studying all possible pairs of eleven major currencies and eleven portfolios in 1976-2008 we show that, when there is no leverage, carry trade is significantly profitable for most currency pairs and portfolios. Positive returns do not diminish in time providing a strong case against the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774170
The aim of this paper is to investigate the market efficiency on the foreign exchange market since the introduction of the Euro by applying the cointegration analysis to exchange rates. The introduction of the Euro has changed the structure of the global foreign exchange market to the extent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003582754
We address the question of whether various types of speculative investor correctly anticipate future USD/EUR currency movements or whether they tend rather to react to past exchange rate movements. Throughout the analysis, we differentiate between large and small traders, and an upper bound of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391722