Value-at-Risk (VaR) has been widely promoted by the Bank for International Settlement (BIS) as well as central banks of all countries as a way of monitoring and managing market risk and as a basis for setting regulatory minimum capital standards. The revised Basle Accord, implemented in January...

This paper models the stochastic behavior of large-scale terrorist events using extreme value methods. We utilize a unique dataset composed of roughly 24,000 observations. These data provide a rich description of domestic and international terrorism between 1968 and 2005. Currently a credible...

Distortions in capital markets can create financial constraints that deter firms from pursuing optimal investment plans. This paper explores how much these constraints affect investment by ownership type in China, using a panel data model estimated with observations on listed firms for the...

Fulfilling the commitments embedded in the Paris Agreement requires a climate-technology revolution. Patented innovation of low-carbon technologies is lower in the EU than in selected peers, and very heterogeneous across member states. We motivate this fact with an endogenous model of directed...

This paper proposes a practical approach to address the procyclicality of initial margin at central counterparties (CCPs) that can work even in periods of extreme stress. The approach allows CCPs to limit the speed of margin increases resulting from spikes in market volatility. To maintain the...

Governments have a substantial influence on the allocation of resources in setting the rules of the game of financial markets. However, up to now, institutional economics and the theory of financial markets are totally separated research areas. To close this analytical gap, our paper connects...

This paper discusses how the bankers' acceptance (BA) market in Canada is organized and its essential link to the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate (CDOR). Globally, BAs are a niche product used only in a limited number of jurisdictions. In Canada, BAs provide a key source of funding for small and...

This paper finds that Government of Canada benchmark bonds tend to be more illiquid over the subsequent month when there is a large increase in government debt supply. The result is both statistically and economically significant, stronger for the long-term than the short-term sector, and is...

This paper reviews and appraises the body of empirical research on the association between .nancial markets and economic growth that has accumulated over the past quarter-century. The bulk of the historical evidence suggests that financial development a¤ects economic growth in a positive,...

We study settlement fails for trades in the Government of Canada bond market. We find that settlement fails do not occur independently. Using a novel and comprehensive dataset, we examine three drivers of fails. First, we find that fails are more likely following the release of surprise...