Ewald, Christian-Oliver; Haugom, Erik; Lien, Gudbrand; … - 2021
For fixed maturity, under the no-arbitrage assumption, futures prices should follow a martingale with respect to the … trading time, at least under the pricing measure. Therefore, a prominent display of trading time seasonality under the … physical measure raises warning signs and can only occur by means of strong seasonality in the pricing kernel. We show that for …