Frontmatter -- Contents -- Introduction / Hulten, Charles R. / Ramey, Valerie A. -- I. The Macroeconomic Link between Education and Real GDP Growth -- 1. Educational Attainment and the Revival of US Economic Growth / Jorgenson, Dale W. / Ho, Mun S. / Samuels, Jon D. -- 2. The Outlook for US...

This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output ? the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...