Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan (2007) (CKM) show that a large class of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with various frictions and shocks is observationally equivalent to a benchmark real business cycle (RBC) model with correlated “wedges” in the RBC model’s first-order...

Several formal methods have been proposed to check identification in DSGE models via (i) the autocovariogram (Iskrev 2010), (ii) the spectral density (Komunjer and Ng 2011; Qu and Tkachenko 2012), or (iii) Bayesian indicators (Koop et al 2012). Even though all methods seem similar, there has been no...

In this paper we assess the implications of policy reforms for the Italian economy by jointly using the Italian Treasury Econometric Model (ITEM) and QUEST III, the endogenous growth dynamic general equilibrium (DGE) model of the European Commission (DG ECFIN) in the version calibrated for...

Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation,...

ARC(advance-retreat course) is an analysis theory and method which aims at socio-economic development issues. The main viewpoint of ARC theory is that the human can design and implement his economic strategies initiatively, and the environment synthesized by various objective factors has to...

Advance-Retreat Course (ARC) analysis is a theoretical analysis and method on socio- economic development. The main point of ARC is that any economic development behavior will face various pressure coming from environment, that is to say, human beings can actively devise and implement his own...

Boating against the current is one image which generalizes many development processes in socio-economic fields. Its basic characteristic is that the human can design and implement his advancing strategies initiatively, and the comprehensive environment synthesized by various objective factors...

We study the potential impact of fiscal devaluation policies on the Italian economy using IGEM, a dynamic general equilibrium model for the Italian economy developed at the Department of Treasury of the Italian Ministry of the Economy and Finance. The simulations show that fiscal devaluation...

In the physical world the "identity" of something is taken generally as a given; an apple is an apple; this apple is this apple. When dealing with planetary structure and extension into space, however, the problem of the planet's "identity" in the surrounding cosmos is writ large. What does a...

This set of three volumes argues that the mind – human consciousness – may be measured by considering mathematically the aggregate of that consciousness, i.e. social history. From this beginning theme of discussion three questions must arise. 1. How might this measurement be made? 2. Of what...