Much of the debate around a potential British exit (Brexit) from the European Union has centred on the potential macroeconomic impact. In this paper, we instead focus on understanding market expectations for price action around the Brexit referendum date. Extracting implied distributions from...

We revise previous literature about Fisher Effect, in order to check if the majority of nominal interest rates movements are caused by inflation rate fluctuations, remaining constant the real interest rate. Finally, we analyse the Fisher Effect in the Spanish case with a preliminary analysis in...

Based on the theory of static replication of variance swaps we assess the sign and magnitude of variance risk premiums in foreign exchange markets. We find significantly negative risk premiums when realized variance is computed from intraday data with low frequency. As a likely consequence of...

Using actual over the counter (OTC) foreign exchange derivative trading data, this paper studies the relationship between trading volume and volatility for the OTC market and futures markets for the Canadian dollar over the period January 1998 to September 2005. Pair-wise regressions are...

This paper presents an empirical analysis investigating the relationship between the futures trading activities of speculators and hedgers and the potential movements of major spot exchange rates. A set of trader position measures are employed as regression predictors, including the level and...

Consider a futures contract on Country 2's currency denominated in Country 1's currency, and its reciprocal, a futures contract on Country 1's currency denominated in Country 2's currency. Because both are marked to market in different currencies, the relationship between the associated futures...