causal VAR with Brazilian typical data and compare its forecasts to a regular causal VAR, using the same data found to be non … fiscal policy, as the non causal VAR has shown substantially better predictive ability than the regular causal VAR for that …

The VAR/SVAR (Vector Autoregressive and Structural Vector Autoregressive) models are the cornerstone of the … General Equilibrium) models – the main theoretical tool for modern macroeconomics. Nevertheless, VAR models may be subject to …

The vector autoregressive and structural vector autoregressive (VAR/SVAR) models are the cornerstone of the … (DSGE) models - the main theoretical tool for modern macroeconomics. Nevertheless, VAR models may be subject to pathologies … the Fabio Canova e Mehdi Hamidi Sahneh, in order to test for these pathologies in Brazilian typical fiscal VAR model using …

of the different models, respectively. We find that overall the large Bayesian VAR and the Bayesian factor augmented VAR …

(VAR) forecasting models. The analyses show that certain factor-augmented VAR models improve upon a simple univariate …

notably with the pandemic. In a VAR, allowing the errors to have a distribution with fatter tails than the Gaussian one equips … the model to better deal with the COVID-19 shock. A standard Gaussian VAR can still be used for producing conditional …